surveillance

Statistical methods for the modeling and monitoring of time series of counts, proportions and categorical data, as well as for the modeling of continuous-time point processes of epidemic phenomena. The monitoring methods focus on aberration detection in count data time series from public health surveillance of communicable diseases, but applications could just as well originate from environmetrics, reliability engineering, econometrics, or social sciences. The package implements many typical outbreak detection procedures such as the (improved) Farrington algorithm, or the negative binomial GLR-CUSUM method of Hoehle and Paul (2008) doi:10.1016/j.csda.2008.02.015. A novel CUSUM approach combining logistic and multinomial logistic modeling is also included. The package contains several real-world data sets, the ability to simulate outbreak data, and to visualize the results of the monitoring in a temporal, spatial or spatio-temporal fashion. A recent overview of the available monitoring procedures is given by Salmon et al. (2016) doi:10.18637/jss.v070.i10. For the retrospective analysis of epidemic spread, the package provides three endemic-epidemic modeling frameworks with tools for visualization, likelihood inference, and simulation. hhh4() estimates models for (multivariate) count time series following Paul and Held (2011) doi:10.1002/sim.4177 and Meyer and Held (2014) doi:10.1214/14-AOAS743. twinSIR() models the susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) event history of a fixed population, e.g, epidemics across farms or networks, as a multivariate point process as proposed by Hoehle (2009) doi:10.1002/bimj.200900050. twinstim() estimates self-exciting point process models for a spatio-temporal point pattern of infective events, e.g., time-stamped geo-referenced surveillance data, as proposed by Meyer et al. (2012) doi:10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01684.x. A recent overview of the implemented space-time modeling frameworks for epidemic phenomena is given by Meyer et al. (2017) doi:10.18637/jss.v077.i11.

Last 30 days

This package has been downloaded 1,709 times in the last 30 days. Consider this 'mid-tier influencer' status—if it were a TikTok, it would get a nod from nieces and nephews. The following heatmap shows the distribution of downloads per day. Yesterday, it was downloaded 85 times.

The following line graph shows the downloads per day. You can hover over the graph to see the exact number of downloads per day.

Last 365 days

This package has been downloaded 22,290 times in the last 365 days. The downloads are officially high enough to crash an underfunded departmental server. Quite an accomplishment! The day with the most downloads was Oct 02, 2024 with 261 downloads.

The following line graph shows the downloads per day. You can hover over the graph to see the exact number of downloads per day.